How We Know What Others Think: Theory-Theory vs. Simulation in Understanding Minds

Every time we guess what someone else is feeling, every time we predict what they’ll do next, we engage in one of the most fascinating and elusive acts the human mind can perform: understanding another mind. But how, exactly, do we do this?


Two major theories in cognitive science and philosophy have tried to answer this question. Known as theory-theory and simulation theory, these approaches offer competing explanations for how we “read” other people’s thoughts, beliefs, and emotions. Though they differ in method, they converge on a powerful insight: understanding others is what makes human life possible—emotionally, morally, socially.


In this post, we’ll explore both theories, compare their strengths and weaknesses, and reflect on what they tell us about being human.





The Challenge: Knowing a Mind That Isn’t Yours



Unlike objects in the physical world, minds are not directly observable. You can’t see a belief. You can’t weigh a desire. And yet, we navigate the social world with remarkable success—figuring out motives, expectations, deceptions, and hopes, often without a word spoken.


So how do we do it? This is the problem that theory-theory and simulation theory attempt to solve.





What Is Theory-Theory?



Theory-theory suggests that we understand other people’s minds by using an implicit theory—a kind of everyday psychology that we apply automatically. According to this view:


  • We have an internal “folk psychological” framework.
  • This framework includes general rules like: “People act on what they believe,” or “If someone wants something, they’ll try to get it.”
  • We use these rules to infer mental states and predict behavior.



In other words, we are all naïve psychologists, running a theory in the background whenever we interact with others.



Strengths of Theory-Theory:



  • Explains how we can interpret unfamiliar or dissimilar minds, such as people from other cultures or children interpreting adults.
  • Accounts for the developmental trajectory of mind-reading in children, who seem to build more complex theories over time (e.g., understanding false beliefs around age four).
  • Aligns with scientific thinking—the way we form and revise hypotheses about what others think.




A Key Example:



If you see someone reaching for an umbrella, you might reason: “They believe it will rain. They don’t want to get wet. That’s why they’re taking the umbrella.” You’re not feeling what they feel—you’re inferring from a basic causal model of the mind.





What Is Simulation Theory?



Simulation theory offers a different route. It suggests that we understand others by putting ourselves in their shoes—running their situation through our own mental system. Instead of theorizing from the outside, we simulate from the inside.


According to this view:


  • We use our own mind as a model for theirs.
  • We imagine being in the same situation, with the same inputs.
  • Our own emotional and cognitive responses become a guide to what they might think or feel.



Simulation is not about applying rules. It’s about replicating experience.



Strengths of Simulation Theory:



  • Explains empathy and emotional understanding—especially when logic or inference might fall short.
  • Accounts for the speed and fluidity of many social judgments.
  • Helps explain how we understand non-verbal cues or subtle, affective states that might not fit tidy rules.




A Key Example:



If you see someone wince after stubbing their toe, you don’t reason through a theory—you feel a twinge yourself. You simulate their pain, and that gives you access to their experience.





Comparing the Two



Both theories explain important parts of social understanding, but they rely on different mental tools.

Theory-Theory

Simulation Theory

Relies on explicit or implicit rules

Relies on imaginative projection

Emphasizes inference and reasoning

Emphasizes empathy and resonance

Works well for abstract or unfamiliar cases

Works well for emotional and embodied understanding

Develops like a scientific theory

Functions more like a mental rehearsal


(And since you prefer no tables—let’s restate this clearly in paragraph form.)


Theory-theory works best when we’re trying to understand unfamiliar or abstract mental states, or when we need to step back and analyze a person’s behavior logically. It relies on mental models and rules about how people generally think and act. By contrast, simulation theory excels in emotionally rich or embodied situations, where we rely on our own experience to imagine what the other person is going through.





Are These Theories in Conflict?



Not necessarily. Many researchers believe that both systems work together. For instance:


  • We may simulate first, especially when the situation is familiar or emotionally charged.
  • If simulation fails—or if the person is very different from us—we might fall back on theory.



This hybrid view suggests that mind-reading is multi-layered. Sometimes we feel our way into another’s experience. Sometimes we reason our way toward it. Often, we do both.





Why This Matters



Understanding how we understand others isn’t just theoretical. It affects:


  • Child development: How do children learn to take others’ perspectives?
  • Autism research: Which systems are impaired or functioning differently?
  • Artificial intelligence: Can machines simulate or theorize about human minds?
  • Therapy and empathy training: How can we help people read minds more accurately?



And beyond that, it touches everyday life. How do we avoid misunderstandings? How do we apologize? How do we forgive? Each of these relies on our ability to grasp what’s going on inside someone else.





Final Thoughts: The Mind That Reaches Out



At the core of both theory-theory and simulation is one shared truth: we are minds that reach out to other minds. Whether we do this through inference or empathy, logic or imagination, it is an act of profound connection.


It’s not always perfect. We misread, misjudge, and misplace our trust. But even those failures speak to how deeply we try. Every glance, every silence, every choice is a kind of message—and we are always listening, always interpreting, always trying to understand.


Because to be human is not just to have a mind.


It is to wonder, with hope and humility, what it is like to be someone else.